The Nigerian equity market had a strong start on Monday to continue its intra-day volatility with a gap up, a little bit of a pullback, and then the index rallied again to close the day higher. The composite index went into a bit of consolidation by midday, before closing not far off from the session’s high to continue the five-day bull transition in August to remain a top performing African and global market. The problem for the market on Monday was that traded volume was low and market breadth closed in the negative.
The Naira continued to appreciate against other major world currencies as a result of the enhanced liquidity in the investor and exporter’s window of the foreign exchange market which had relatively helped to stabilize its value, thereby helping to achieve the much need rate convergence desired by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). This is necessary to further attract FX inflow into the country at a time positive economic data continues to confirm recovery and improving economic and market fundamentals.
The positive Q2 numbers posted by players in the consumer goods sector and the expected interim dividend in the banking sector have attracted high patronage to stocks in both sectors as the investing community continues to interpret and digest the numbers.
Monday’s volume traded index was 0.63; with buying position of 56% and selling volume, 44% of total transaction that revealed selling pressure is rising, despite the positive buying position in the up market.
Meanwhile, the benchmark NSE All-Share Index gained 100.23 basis points to close at 37,525.38bp, after opening at 37,425.15 points which represented a 0.27% growth on a lower volume traded when compared to the previous sessions, even as market capitalisation rose by N34.55 billion to close at N12.93tr, from the opening value of N12.9tr that represented a 0.27% value gain in investors trading portfolio.
Price appreciation in the shares of medium and high cap stocks, especially the fast moving consumer goods impacted the All-Share index year-to-date returns to 39.63%. Also, market capitalisation over the same period improved by N3.81tr, representing a 40% growth on the year’s opening value.
Market breadth for day was negative as the decliners outnumbered advancers in the ratio of 27:23 on a low volume of trades to extend the five-day bull rally. Trading activities in terms of volume and value dropped by 50.63% and 8.02% respectively at 254.49m shares worth N5.8bn, from the previous day’s 515.48m units, valued at N6.3bn.
Transactions in the shares of Access Bank, Zenith Bank, Guaranty Trust Bank, UBA and FBNH topped the volume chart during the session.
At the end of trading activities also, CCNN topped the advancers’ log, gaining 10.16% to close at N10.84 each on market forces and impressive Q2 numbers as the market expect faithful implementation of the 2017 budget and proposed reconstruction of the book haram insurgency ravaged north east geo-political zone to influence performance. CCNN was followed by C & I Leasing with a 10.00% gain to close at N1.10 per share, on market forces and improved numbers.
On the flipside, AXA Mansard Insurance led the decliners’ log after dropping 4.61% to close at N2.07 per share on market forces and profit taking; ahead of sub-sector peer- Continental Reinsurance, which lost 4.32%, closing at N1.33 per unit also on profit taking as traders exit for interim dividend paying stocks.
As trading activities open this morning, expect volatility to continue as profit taking and portfolio reshuffling on the strength of Q2 numbers released recently to influence market players’ decision.
However, investors need not panic if any pullback occurs now due to profit booking if they take position based on strong numbers and future prospects of any stock.
Again, we advise that investors allow numbers to guide their decisions while repositioning for the rest of the year’s trading activities, especially now that prices of stocks are looking up ahead of the improving economic fundamentals, if the numbers will support the price reversal or continuation.
It is time to use your technical tools to take decision by knowing the support and resistant level to reposition or exit any position.
Be reminded once more that industry potential, market timing are very important when picking a stock, because there are factors that are sector-specific and would naturally impact positively or negatively on companies operating within such an industry, especially now that the economy is recovering. Market is in phases know it in order to manage your trading and investing risk. For stocks that should be on your shopping list to buy in this oscillating market or pullbacks.